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Weather Data and Operational Impact Workspace
Connect NOAA/National Weather Service observations and hourly forecasts to your work requirements and costs. See which conditions limit a schedule, compare forecast revisions, and inspect missing data. BusCalc calculations are separate from official weather information.
Choose an analysis · Energy and price references · MCP/API access
Try an example location
Optional examples are real places. Choosing one loads its current available weather.
Optional NOAA coastal observation
Fetch a NOAA CO-OPS water-level station independently of the weather location. Metres relative to the station’s local MLLW datum; preliminary/flagged data can be revised. Not a tide forecast, flood-depth estimate or navigational clearance.
Example: 8735180, Dauphin Island, Alabama.
2. Apply data to a specific analysis
Applying never recalculates automatically. Review limits and costs. Hourly analysis accepts up to 48 full hours; revision analysis compares up to 24 common hours to remain within the API’s 16 KB request limit. You can choose another start hour.
Results
Choose a method and enter its figures.
What makes this useful?
The work-window method explains how supplied limits affect available hours and conditional costs. Revision analysis measures when changed forecasts flip a job’s criteria or change its disruption scenario, on matched valid hours only. These are decision-impact calculations, not a new weather forecast or evidence that NOAA lacks comparable analysis.
Reproducible feedback for weather/data providers
Download the source snapshot and data-quality report to review timestamps, missing values, station coverage and hourly gaps. An analysis receipt records formulas, inputs and results. A useful report identifies the place, valid period, source issue time and exact reproducible issue. User-specific operating costs may add context, but do not establish forecast skill or actual economic impact. Nothing is sent to NOAA/NWS automatically, and no private business figures are collected for agency feedback.
Methods and illustrative results
Forecast work windows & disruption budget
An hourly forecast matches only when every required value is known and within the entered limits and working hours; group consecutive matching hours; scenario cost = nonmatching/unknown scheduled hours × crew × entered hourly cost + fixed scenario cost.
- Scheduled forecast hours assessed
- 8 hours
- Hours matching every entered limit
- 6 hours
- Scheduled hours with missing required data
- 0 hours
- Qualifying continuous windows
- 2 count
- Longest matching continuous window
- 3 hours
- Disruption cost if every nonmatching or unknown scheduled hour incurs entered costs
- 120 USD
- Matching window
- 2026-11-05T08:00:00-06:00 to 2026-11-05T11:00:00-06:00 (3 hours) text
- Matching window
- 2026-11-05T13:00:00-06:00 to 2026-11-05T16:00:00-06:00 (3 hours) text
- Scheduled hours outside temperature limit
- 0 hours
- Scheduled hours outside sustained wind limit
- 1 hours
- Scheduled hours outside precipitation probability limit
- 1 hours
- Scheduled hours outside humidity limit
- 0 hours
Heating/cooling degree-hours & load scenario
Heating degree-hours = sum(max(0, balance°F−forecast°F) × interval hours); cooling degree-hours use the opposite difference. Modeled heating input kWh = heating degree-hours × heat-loss coefficient / COP.
- Known temperature hours
- 8 hours
- Missing temperature hours
- 0 hours
- Heating degree-hours
- 15 °F-hours
- Cooling degree-hours
- 3 °F-hours
- Modeled useful heating requirement
- 3 kWh thermal
- Modeled heating input energy
- 3 kWh input equivalent
- Modeled heating energy cost
- 0.48 USD
Rain capture and surface runoff scenario
Gross US gallons = rain inches × area ft² × 144 / 231; collectible = gross × collection fraction; stored = min(collectible, available storage).
- Gross water over catchment
- 623.376623 US gallons
- Collectible scenario water
- 498.701299 US gallons
- Stored within available capacity
- 498.701299 US gallons
- Collectible water exceeding storage
- 0 US gallons
Temperature, dew point & condensation margin
Magnus approximation: gamma = ln(RH/100)+17.625×T°C/(243.04+T°C); dew point°C = 243.04×gamma/(17.625−gamma); surface margin = surface temperature−dew point.
- Approximate dew point
- 55.479763 °F
- Surface temperature above dew point
- 4.520237 °F
- Condensation scenario
- Surface is above calculated dew point text
Forecast revision decision-impact analysis
Align earlier and later forecasts by identical valid hourly intervals; apply the SAME entered work limits and costs to both; count decision flips and compare available windows and disruption-cost scenarios on the common coverage only.
- Common valid hours compared
- 8 hours
- Earlier-only hours excluded
- 0 hours
- Later-only hours excluded
- 0 hours
- Hours losing a match to entered limits
- 2 hours
- Hours gaining a match to entered limits
- 0 hours
- Compared hours with unknown required values
- 0 hours
- Earlier qualifying windows
- 1 count
- Later qualifying windows
- 2 count
- Earlier conditional disruption cost
- 0 USD
- Later conditional disruption cost
- 120 USD
- Conditional cost change caused by forecast revision
- 120 USD
Paired temperature forecast verification
For explicitly time-matched temperature pairs: error = forecast°F−observed°F; bias = mean(error); MAE = mean(abs(error)); RMSE = sqrt(mean(error²)).
- Matched temperature pairs
- 2 count
- Mean forecast-minus-observation bias
- 0.5 °F
- Mean absolute error
- 1.5 °F
- Root mean square error
- 1.581139 °F
- Mean entered forecast lead time
- 36.5 hours
Weather-window mobilization & revisit economics
Productive capacity per visit = window−setup−cleanup; visits = ceil(required productive hours/capacity); mobilization cost per visit = miles×vehicle rate + crew×loaded wage×(travel+setup+cleanup) + other visit costs; net contribution = productive hours×contribution/hour − visits×mobilization cost.
- Mobilization and overhead cost per visit
- 141 USD
- Productive capacity per visit
- 3 hours
- Whole visits required
- 3 count
- Total mobilization and visit overhead
- 423 USD
- Additional overhead compared with one visit
- 282 USD
- Net contribution after all visit overhead
- 537 USD
- Productive hours needed to cover one visit overhead
- 1.175 hours
- Consecutive on-site hours needed to cover one visit overhead
- 2.175 hours
Current data, forecasts and probabilities
Latest available does not mean instantaneous. NWS observations can be delayed by reporting and quality checks; station conditions may differ from your site. Forecast grids represent an area, not an on-site sensor. We show observation, forecast and fetch timestamps separately. A timestamp ending in Z is UTC; hourly periods retain their explicit local UTC offset. Refreshing updates the source display, never the inputs or results of an existing analysis. Source precipitation percentages are NWS forecast probabilities for their stated periods, not the probability that a job succeeds. We do not multiply hourly probabilities or assign a custom safety score.
Privacy-conscious usage analysis
We count server lookup outcomes and browser-reported feature use and calculation successes/errors without saving your location searches, GPS coordinates, job figures or results in usage reports. Rotating daily network estimates do not identify people or link their activity across days. No new tracking cookies are added. See privacy details.
Source data, attribution and limits
- NOAA/NWS Aviation Weather Center observation backup and API limits
- U.S. Census Bureau 2025 Gazetteer place and ZIP-area representative points
- NWS API documentation and open-data use
- NOAA/NWS reuse and delivery disclaimer
- NOAA CO-OPS station data API
- Alduchov and Eskridge: improved Magnus approximation. Dew point is an approximation using liquid-water constants, not a coating specification.
Official source text remains attributed. BusCalc conversions, charts and calculations are labeled separately. No endorsement or affiliation is claimed. Temperature, sustained wind, gusts, precipitation probability and measured rain are different quantities. Missing observations and failed alerts are shown as unavailable, never as zero or an all-clear. Confirm official warnings and site-specific requirements; this tool is not an emergency-alert delivery system.
Forecasts older than 24 hours cannot be newly loaded. Station observations older than three hours and coastal readings older than one hour are labeled old. Existing analysis is a supplied snapshot, not an automatically updating forecast.